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Back to Departmental Colloquium: Fall 2006

Departmental Colloquium


Date: Thursday, Nov 30, 2006

Time: 4:15PM

Location: JWB 335


David Aldous

University of California, Berkeley

Title

Coherent models of macroevolution.

Abstract

We give a mathematician’s view of evolutionary biology literature concerning stochastic models for phylogenetic trees. We spotlight a model for the tree on n extant species that would be observed if macroevolution were purely random. The model can be extended in two ways – to time series of observed taxa in a fossil record, and to different levels of the taxonomic hierarchy – and provides a logically consistent (``coherent’’) framework for simultaneous study thereof. We illustrate with a variety of theoretical calculations and simulations, and propose a variety of real-data projects suggested by our analysis. (Joint work with Lea Popovic and Maxim Krikun)

Probability Mathematical Biology

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